An analytical report by the Centre for Economic Strategy shows that as of the end of November 2024, about 5.2 million Ukrainian refugees remain abroad. The research is based on a sociological survey by Info Sapiens and analysis of open sources.
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Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, 43 million people have left Ukraine, and 39.3 million have returned. The net outflow of population across the western borders was 3.7 million people, while another 239,000 Ukrainians left for European countries via Russia or Belarus. In addition, according to the UN, 1.3 million Ukrainians have become refugees in these countries.
Among those who remain abroad, women predominate (44%), although their share has decreased by 6 percentage points compared to the beginning of 2024. At the same time, the share of men has increased to 27% (+9 percentage points), and children account for 29% of refugees. The largest age group is women aged 35-44, most of whom left with children.
The study also estimates the economic impact of migration. If a significant number of Ukrainians do not return, this could lead to a reduction in the workforce and slower economic growth. At the same time, experts note that stabilisation of the security situation and effective government policy may help some citizens return.
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